Thursday, October 26, 2023
How to Use the Brooks Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns
so I'm going to bring Alan now hello Alan good to see you hey Richard good seeing you hi everyone I'm Al Brooks and I'd like to spend a few minutes telling you how I use my Encyclopedia of chart patterns back in the 1980s and 90s I spent about 10 000 hours back testing all kinds of ideas I wanted to create categories of chart patterns that hopefully would be Fairly reliable and I came up with about a hundred patterns for the bowls 100 patterns for the Bears and then each pattern can fail so we multiply times two and I have about 400 categories you don't have to learn all 400 types of patterns and their variations but if you learn a handful of them and you get very good at them you're then in a pretty good position to make some money as a Trader I made my collection available online several years ago and I'm going to talk a little bit now about how I use it as we watch today unfold and try to figure out what's going on and every bar gives you additional information and based upon what you're seeing you're changing your opinion about what the market might do so here we have a double bottom it failed to create a reversal we had a third leg down and then a reversal from the higher low double bottom so this is a wedge sell-off to a high or low double bottom a bad Buy Signal bar but then a pretty good pull bar here it's a reasonable buy bidding for a swing up
always assume that what is happening on
the open is a test of some kind of
support or resistance even if you don't
see that support or resistance and the
initial move can be the exact opposite
of what the eventual Trend will be the
market makes strong moves on the open
half the time the strong moves lead to a
swing and half the time the strong moves
reverse and you get a swing in the
opposite direction so don't get too
excited about a breakout early in the
day only trade it if it continues to
have follow-through if you get a reversal
bet on the opposite direction if you're
trading and you see a pattern and you're
pretty familiar with it then go ahead
and place a trade but if you're not all
that comfortable with what you're seeing
you can turn to this encyclopedia to
find similar patterns so first of all
you have to decide what you're seeing
here we have a reversal up with small
bodies and prominent tails and a small
pullback after a bear trap the market
tried to go down and it's reversing up
this could be the start of a small
pullback will Trend it's a gap down
below the moving average probably below
yesterday's close so if you're
uncomfortable with what's going on you
can look in the encyclopedia in the
section about Gap downs and reversals up
or in the section on both Trends from
the open or on the section of small
pullback bull Trends and try to find
something that looks similar to this and
if you find several days that have
patterns similar to this then you take a
reasonable bet that what we'll follow
today will be like what followed on
those other days here we had a rally we
had three attempts down one two and
three a wedge top but in a small pullback
bowl Trend it's probably a minor
reversal this is a double bottom with
this low but a bad Buy Signal bar it's a
lower low so a little bit weaker and it
follows a fairly Big Bear bar this is
probably a minor reversal so it looks
like today is going to be a trading
range day when you look at the
encyclopedia and you'll see things that
look like this a lot of them will look
like this for the rest of the day and
that will give you confidence to take
shorts up here despite the small
pullback bull Trend and it'll give you
confidence to bet that the reversal is
down will be minor so you look to buy a
reversal back up you look for bull bars
closing near their highs here we have a
couple you can buy on a stop above the
high of that bar and get along there for
a swing up at the end of the day you have to constantly reevaluate what's going on the bulls and bears are always fighting and they're trying to control the market they're trying to change the direction and trying to get the direction to go their way a long time but you have to be quick to exit even with a loss if you decide that the premise of the trade that you took is no longer valid if so look for a trade in the New Direction and if there's good evidence that your premise is now again good you can enter again in your original Direction This is an fomc announcement I don't have the bars at the beginning of the day because they're not necessary to illustrate the point but here we have a very strong bear breakout and some bear follow-through but tail here bigger tail here a low one cell signal with a bull bar so we're getting buying buying and a bad sell signal and then more sales so we may reverse from a double bottom you look at the sections on fomc announcements I have sections for every type of thing that can happen after an fomc announcement and you're going to be thinking about a bear breakout that will fail and reverse up and you're looking to buy above a bull bar closing near its high for a swing up always trade a small size at least until you're consistently profitable try not to constantly reverse on minor reversals so if the market is doing this instead of buying and selling and buying and selling and buying and selling and buying you're going to lose a lot of money when the market is in a fairly tight trading range with small bodies and prominent tails and a lot of overlapping bars it's better to do nothing
better to exit and wait for the next
major reversal setup there's always
going to be another trade I remember
back in the 1980s when I'd see something
like this I was afraid that every day
would be like that forever and that I
would never have opportunities to trade
that was a true fear I really was afraid
that the goose would stop laying golden
eggs and the market would just enter a
tight training range and never have good
patterns there's always going to be good
trades there will always be several good
trades every day so never worry it's
boring to wait but when the market is
doing this that's what you do even if it
means you do not take any more trades
for the rest of the day you
should enter with stops this green box
is an entry here one tick above the high
of that bar you should end with stops
use protective stops I don't have it
drawn in but this is the start of the move
so you put the stop below the bottom of
the move and you look for a swing trade
a swing trade means typically at least a
couple legs one pullback two in here
three and you're also looking for
something to last an hour or two finally you're looking for a trade where you can make about 40 percent of an average day's range so if the average day is 50 points 40 percent of that is 20 points and that's been a fairly common thing in e-mini lately here in 2023. a lot of the swings are 20 points if a setup is not good enough then wait should you buy Above This full bar well it's following five or six beer bars so that's not a good buy should you buy Above This Bull Bar well it's a big bull bar you may be in the middle of a trading Mansion it's following three bear bars so that's not a great Buy here we do have a trading range and we're near the bottom of it so you want to buy a reversal up but when you have a bunch of bear bars it's better to wait for some kind of a micro double bottom and here we went down we went up and we went down again and therefore you could buy Above the neckline here or above a bull bar closing near its high there and look for a trade that'll last at least an hour or two and have at least a couple legs up this has one another minor leg these are minor legs but it did last for a couple hours or so and never worry about missing the best entry or the first entry because if the trade is going to last for 20 bars there will be other entries so yeah these entries are further up than this so you're risking more down to your stop but you also have a higher probability of making money and that's the price that you pay
the stop further away is the price that
you pay to have a higher probability
trade so these are all very good entries
missing the first few bars if the trend
is good there'll be plenty of opportunity
to make a lot of money so if you don't
take this outside down bar after this
attempt at a wedge bottom wait for
another bar closing nearest low sell
below that here we have an inside bar
after three beer bars closing near the
lows that's all in one cell you sell below
that again the stop is up here above the
start of the move and your risk is
greater if you take the later entries
but the probability of making money is
higher and that offsets the risk perfect patterns are rare you'll see them on websites and in books but it took the person who created that chart hours to find a perfect pattern if you wait for perfect patterns you're never going to trade it's better to look for something that looks similar to a good pattern and the more it looks like a good pattern the more it will behave like a good pattern as I said nothing is going to be perfect but get good at recognizing all the variations and that's one of the advantages of the encyclopedia if you look in the sections of wedge bottoms I have maybe 50 or 100 examples if you look at them you'll see that most of them are not perfect and that should give you confidence to take trades that look less than perfect and if you're if you're not all that certain about a trade here we have a wedge it's a bull flag because it's a higher low after a strong rally
if you don't want to take the buy Above
the consecutive inside bars you can wait
for a bull bar closing near as high so
now we have two bull bars one with a big
body closing there is high that's a
higher probability buy here we have two
boulevards closing near their highs
closing above the moving average and one
of the bodies is completely above the
moving average that is a higher probability
buy I talk about all these little things
in the encyclopedia the encyclopedias
lots of little things like that and
you're not going to remember all of them
but the more that you learn the more
confidence that you'll have in taking
trades when you start out you're always
going to be losing money and that's okay
but you know don't be hard on yourself
you know the way I look at it is you
have to be your own Advocate and your
own cheerleader everybody else's job is
to find your faults and tell you all the things that you're doing wrong don't let the people get you down take your time learn stuff learn how to recognize patterns as they're forming and when you see something forming if you don't have a lot of experience with it look for the pattern in the appropriate section in the encyclopedia and then look for examples that are similar to what you see and then bet that what follows today will be like what followed on those other days again I'm Al Brooks and I hope that you found this useful this was an introduction on how to use my Brooks Encyclopedia of chart patterns
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